Now that we have three weeks of data to work with I want to introduce a new weekly column that I will release every Friday, The Futures Value Cheat Sheet. What follows in the chart below is what the model finds to be the correct price for certain futures bets on every team. You can use this chart to find the fair value for whatever futures side you like, and then compare it to your book's line. This way you will have a sense of how much you are overpaying, or how much value you are receiving. 

For example, the current Fan Duel odds on the Bills to win the Super Bowl are +950. The model says it should be +733.33. That equates to a 2.48% edge.  

The purpose of this chart is not to tell you to bet on one side or another. The model believes only that if we played this season an infinite number of times, you would ultimately break even on any of the sides that follow. To the extent that you can find a better line, you will profit. These numbers and sides will vary dramatically each week. In the following weeks, I will have the capability to run these numbers against commonly available lines and simply provide you with the results. Although you will ultimately be restricted to whatever liens you have access to bet. 

Enjoy!