Jared Cannonier (3.25) vs. Caio Borralho (1.36)
Cannonier is 10-7 in UFC, 17-7 overall. Last 5: W-L-W-W-L
Borralho is 6-0 in UFC, 16-1-1 overall. Last 5: W-W-W-W-W
Cannonier (40) has a fairly quick turnaround following a KO loss to Nassourdine Imavov in their June main event. That was his first loss since failing to lay a glove on Israel Adesanya (decision) in his MW title shot loss at UFC 276 - he had beaten Sean Strickland (decision) and Marvin Vettori (decision) since that setback. Solidified himself as the number one MW contender earlier in 2022 when he finished Derek Brunson (KO) at UFC 271 - his second win in a row having come out on top in his main event with Kelvin Gastelum (decision) in his only fight of 2021. The only other loss in his last 10 was against former MW Champion Robert Whittaker (decision) at UFC 254. 7-3 at MW since dropping down into the weight class with other wins over Jack Hermansson (KO), Anderson Silva (KO) and David Branch (KO). Went 2-3 at LHW, dropping fights against top competition in Dominick Reyes (KO) and former LHW Champions Jan Blachowicz (decision) and Glover Teixeira (decision). His successes at 205 came against short notice replacement Nick Roehrick (KO) and Ion Cutelaba (decision), the latter really showcasing his toughness and durability. MW is his third UFC weight class having originally debuted as a small HW in 2015, going 1-1 with a loss to Shawn Jordan (KO) and a win over Cyril Asker (KO). Has carried that HW power down to the MW weight class; possessing the ability to completely change the trajectory of a fight with a single strike. Iron chin and fights with a lot of heart. One glaring weakness is the past was takedown defence and ability to get back up, although that part of his game seems better down at MW. 10/17 wins by KO. Now training at MMA Lab.
Borralho (31) has earned his first UFC main event after picking up his sixth win in a row at this level when he knocked out Paul Craig at UFC 301. He is still yet to face any real adversity in his UFC career; last year he picked up a second round submission of Michal Oleksiejczuk in April before returning to defeat Abus Magomedov (decision) in November. Enjoyed an excellent first year in the UFC in 2022, going 3-0 with the final of those wins coming over Makhmud Muradov (decision) at UFC 280 - prior to that he had minimal trouble in beating two very solid prospects in Gadzhi Omargadzhiev (decision) and Armen Petrosyan (decision). Earned his way into the UFC with two wins on the 2021 edition of Dana White's Tuesday Night Contender Series, initially defeating Aaron Jeffrey (14-5) at WW but not doing enough to be given a contract. He returned a weight class higher three weeks later and this time was signed after finishing Jesse Murray (9-6) inside two minutes. Caught the UFC's attention with a 3-0 run in Brazilian promotion Future FC, beating Wildemar Souza (10-4) and Otavio Sagas (7-3). One defeat against Joao Carvalho (9-5) in his second professional fight. 8/15 wins inside the distance (4 KO, 4 SUB) - finishing ability is probably the one criticism you can level at him. Good frame for MW (6'2), it's difficult to imagine he used to compete at WW looking at him now. Trains at Combat Club.
Borralho hasn't been a great finisher and Cannonier has never been submitted, so Borralho might have to fight for 25 minutes to get the win here. Plenty of guesswork involved in predicting this match-up, it probably comes down to can Borralho get the takedowns needed to win enough rounds.
Prediction: Borralho by decision.
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Michael Morales (1.10) vs. Neil Magny (7.00)
Morales is 4-0 in UFC, 16-0 overall. Last 5: W-W-W-W-W
Magny is 22-10 in UFC, 29-11 overall. Last 5: W-L-W-L-W
Morales (25) will look to enter the UFC WW rankings having passed every test the UFC has thrown at him so far, most recently defeating Jake Matthews (decision) in November. 2-0 last year having also bested veteran WW Max Griffin (decision) in July. Had had a strong first year in the UFC in 2022, registering wins over Trevin Giles (KO) and Adam Fugitt (KO) at UFC 270 and UFC 277 respectively. Graduated from the 2021 season of Dana White's Tuesday Night Contender Series with a decision win over another fighter now on the UFC roster in Nikolay Veretnnikov. The Ecuadorian started his professional MMA career with 11 straight wins on his local MMA scene, albeit he was never going to find appropriate competition to test him at that level - the one good win on his regional record is over Leonardo Blasco (22-8). Very long reach for the WW division at 79 inches. 11/16 wins by KO. Trains at Entram Gym.
Magny (37) pulled off an incredible comeback to finish Mike Malott with strikes with 15 seconds remaining in a fight he was completely dominated in for the first two rounds. Last year he squeaked past Philip Rowe by split decision in between one-sided losses to Gilbert Burns (submission) and Ian Garry (decision). He's never ducked a challenge, as was evident from him stepping up to face the undefeated Shavkat Rakhmonov in 2022 - losing via second round submission. Has fully embraced the role of gatekeeper to the WW rankings, picking up other wins since 2021 over Max Griffin (decision), Geoff Neal (decision) and Daniel Rodriguez (submission). 8-4 since returning from a USADA suspension incurred after a main event loss to Santiago Ponzinibbio (KO) in late 2018 - the other loss was to Michael Chiesa (decision) and the wins over Jingliang Li (decision), Anthony Rocco Martin (decision) and Robbie Lawler (decision). Other setbacks since 2015 against Rafael dos Anjos (submission), Lorenz Larkin (KO) and Demian Maia (submission) which showcased two clear weaknesses - submission defence (6/11 losses by submission) and defending leg kicks. One of the busiest fighters on the roster since arriving in the UFC, twice fighting five times in a calendar year. After losing two of his first three UFC fights to Seth Baczynski (decision) and Sergio Moraes (submission), he went 10-1 with the best of those wins coming against Kelvin Gastelum (decision), Hector Lombard (KO), Erick Silva (decision), Tim Means (decision), Hyun Gyu Lim (KO) and Alex Garcia (decision). Other notable UFC wins against Carlos Condit (decision) and Johny Hendricks (decision). Massive frame (6'3) for WW. Competed on TUF 16, making it to the semi-finals before losing to Mike Ricci (KO). 17/29 wins by decision - certainly not a big finisher at this level. Trains at Elevation Fight Team.
Morales being such a huge favourite is a bit of an eyebrow raiser but it is difficult to see such a young, dynamic fighter losing to a 37-year old Magny.
Prediction: Morales by decision.
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Edmen Shahbazyan (1.30) vs. Gerald Meerschaert (3.50)
Shahbazyan is 6-4 in UFC, 13-4 overall. Last 5: L-L-W-L-W
Meerschaert is 11-9 in UFC, 36-17 overall. Last 5: L-W-L-L-W
Shahbazyan (26) overcome early adversity to knock out A.J. Dobson towards the end of the first round in March. Prior to that he had lost four of his last five, finding it tough when consistently fighting top competition including a setback against Anthony Hernandez (KO) last year. The only win over that bad spell came over Dalcha Lungiambula (KO) at UFC 282. Started to struggle when elevated to main event status in 2020, starting strong but fading badly against Derek Brunson (KO). Other UFC losses to ranked MWs Jack Hermansson (decision) and Nassourdine Imavov (KO). Started his UFC career well with four consecutive wins; the last of those the most impressive - a first round KO of a tough and experienced Brad Tavares. Went 3-0 in 2019, making short work of Jack Marshman (submission - 72 seconds) and Charles Byrd (KO - 38 seconds) in his other contests. Didn't have it all his own way in his UFC debut in November 2018, picking up a hard-fought split decision win over Darren Stewart. The youngest fighter on the UFC roster when awarded a contract following a first round KO of Antonio Jones (9-4) on the second series of Dana White's Tuesday Night Contender Series. 11/13 wins by KO, all bar one in the first round. Talented striker with a long frame. Formerly of Glendale Fighting Club but now fighting out of Xtreme Couture.
Meerschaert (36) snapped a two-fight losing streak with a submission win over Bryan Barberena in March - his tenth UFC submission, which is joint fourth most in UFC history. 2023 was a down year that saw him suffer losses against Joe Pyfer (KO) and Andre Petroski (decision). He submitted Bruno Silva in the second half of 2022 following a loss to Krzysztof Jotko (decision). A perfect 3-0 in 2021 with a trio of submission wins over Makhmud Muradov, Dustin Stoltzfus and Bartosz Fabinski. 2020 was another down year for him, which featured a pair of first round KO losses to Khamzat Chimaev and Ian Heinisch. Other UFC setbacks against Eryk Anders (decision), Kevin Holland (decision) and Jack Hermansson (submission) and Thiago Santos (KO). Made a great start in the UFC, winning four of his first five fights with victories against Oskar Piechota (submission), Eric Spicely (KO), Joe Gigliotti (submission) and Ryan Janes (submission). Very experienced on the regional scene having already competed 33 times before making it to the UFC, fighting for RFA, Titan FC and King of the Cage. 28/36 wins by submission overall but he also has some defensive weaknesses on the ground (8/17 losses by submission). Now training at Kill Cliff FC.
I think this is a good match-up for Shahbazyan, it's no secret that Meerschaert needs it on the ground but if Shahbazyan is smart he can pick his spots on the feet while being wary of the takedown threat.
Prediction: Shahbazyan by KO in round 2.
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Angela Hill (2.10) vs. Tabatha Ricci (1.72)
Hill is 12-13 in UFC, 17-13 overall. Last 5: W-W-L-W-W
Ricci is 5-2 in UFC, 10-2 overall. Last 5: W-W-W-L-W
Hill (39) is in good form having won four of her last five, including her first career submission victory over Luana Pinheiro in May. Other wins since halfway through 2022 over Denise Gomes (decision), Emily Ducote (decision) and Lupita Godinez (decision) either side of a main event loss to Mackenzie Dern (decision). Prior to that she suffered three losses in nine months against good competition in Virna Jandiroba (decision), Amanda Lemos (decision) and Tecia Torres (decision). Her take on all comers attitude has seen her pick up her fair share of losses in the UFC with other notable ones coming against Claudia Gadelha (decision), Xiaonan Yan (decision), Nina Ansaroff (decision) and Jessica Andrade (decision). Had a 1-2 UFC run after taking part in TUF 20 with only one pro fight under her belt, losing to Torres (decision) and Rose Namajunas (submission). A good example of the benefits that dropping down to Invicta FC can have; 4-0 in that organisation, winning their WSW title with an impressive win over Livinha Souza (decision). Kickboxing background. 11/17 wins and 11/13 losses by decision. Trains at Alliance MMA.
Ricci (29) edged past Teccia Torres by split decision in May, rebounding from having her four-fight win streak snapped by Lupita Godinez (decision) at UFC 295. The final two wins of that streak came over Gillian Robertson (decision) and Jessica Penne (submission) in 2023. Debuted on short notice halfway through 2021, moving up in weight to take a fight with Manon Fiorot - a much bigger girl and now the number one contender for the WFLW title - which she lost convincingly by second round KO. Rebounded from that experience by picking up wins over Maria Oliveira (decision) and Polyana Viana (decision). Built experience in LFA, going 3-0 albeit against very poor competition. BJJ background - debuted professionally in MMA in 2013 but didn't compete at all between 2014 and 2020 as she concentrated on her grappling career. 6/10 wins by decision. Fights out of Paragon Brazilian Jiu Jitsu.
I don't think Ricci's offensive wrestling is good enough to prevent this being a 15-minute kickboxing contest, which is Hill's type of fight.
Prediction: Hill by decision.
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Ryan Loder (2.40) vs. Robert Valentin (1.58) - TUF 32 MW final
Loder makes his UFC debut, 6-1 overall. Last 5: W-W-L-W-W
Valentin makes his UFC debut, 10-3-1 overall. Last 5: W-NC-W-W-W
Loder (33) made it to the final of the MW competition with wins over Tom Theocharis (submission) and Omran Chaaban (decision). He is less than three years into his professional career, most recently competing for UFL where he picked up a pair of notable wins over Leon Shahbazyan (8-4) and Lajuan Davis (6-1). One career loss against Troy Green (7-3). Wrestling background. 4/6 wins by KO. Has spent time training at Team Alpha Male.
Valentin (29) looked dominant on the show with first round finishes of Giannis Bachar (KO) and Paddy McCorry (submission). The Swiss MW's most notable regional experience is a 1-1-1 run for Ares FC where he picked up a win over Pietro Penini (10-4-3) after their original fight was ruled a no contest and lost to Akhmed Salamov (5-1). Other good career wins over Samuil Shelest (14-4), Alic Mensur (5-2) and Mario Dengg (7-4). His other losses are to current UFC LHW Ibo Aslan (KO) and Djati Melan (8-1). 9/10 wins inside the distance (6 SUB). Trains at Fight Move Academy.
Loder has a wrestling path to victory but the finishing upside is on Valentin's side.
Prediction: Valentin by submission in round 1.
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Kaan Ofli (2.62) vs. Mairon Santos (1.53) - TUF 32 FW final
Ofli makes his UFC debut, 11-2-1 overall. Last 5: W-W-W-W-W
Santos makes his UFC debut, 13-1 overall. Last 5: W-W-W-L-W
Ofli (31) reached the final by beating Nathan Fletcher (decision) in the quarter-final and Roedie Roets (submission) in the semi-finals. The Turk emerged from the Australia regional scene, most recently fighting for Hex Fight Series (3-0) with the best win coming over Jarrett Wilbraham (). He's also fought in the Middle East for strong regional promotions UAE Warriors (1-0) and Brave FC (1-0), picking up wins over Walid Laidi (5-3) and Jeremy Pacatiw (12-5). Career losses to Mitch Martin (8-0) and Isaac Hardman (9-0) in his first six pro fights. 5/11 wins by submission.
Santos (24) made it through to the final with decision wins over Edwin Cooper Jr. and Guillermo Torres. The Brazilian most recently competed for LFA, suffering the first and only defeat of his career to date against UFC veteran Dan Argueta (KO) before rebounding against Rafael Barbosa (14-5). Notable wins on the Brazilian regional scene over Andre Borges (12-6), Julio Pereira (12-5) and Boundjou Baba Nadjombe (8-5). 7/13 wins by KO. Fights out of Parana Vale Tudo.
I think Santos is the more well-rounded guy and he knows how to manage himself to win decisions.
Prediction: Santos by decision.
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Viacheslav Borshchev (1.45) vs. James Llontop (2.80)
Borshchev is 2-3-1 in UFC, 7-4-1 overall. Last 5: L-L-W-D-L
Llontop is 0-1 in UFC, 14-3 overall. Last 5: W-W-W-W-L
Borshchev (32) was totally dominated by Chase Hooper (submission) in his only fight of 2024 so far. He was involved in a hell of a scrap with Nazim Sadykhov at UFC 295, winning the first and third round either side of a 10-8 reversal in the second round and emerging with a draw. His only win in his last five was a finish of Maheshate Hayisaer (KO) last year; before that he suffered decision losses to Marc Diakiese and Mike Davis. Started his UFC career well with a first-round body shot KO of Dakota Bush. A graduate of Dana White's Tuesday Night Contender Series in 2021, impressing in a KO win over a guy now also in the UFC in Chris Duncan. Fought for strong North American regional promotions LFA (1-1) and Titan FC (2-0). One notable regional win over Ali Zebian (10-5) with his other professional loss coming against Will Starks (10-3). 6/7 wins by KO, good boxer. Trains at Team Alpha Male.
Llontop (25) will look to rebound from a disappointing UFC debut that saw him submitted in the first round by short notice replacement Chris Padilla. He earned a UFC contract when he beat Malik Lewis (6-2) by unanimous decision on the 2023 edition of Dana White's Tuesday Night Contender Series. The Peruvian LW dominated his regional scene, going 10-0 in the FFC organisation with notable wins over Nilson Oliveira (20-14), Dimitriy Zebroski (20-12-1), Kevin Pastran (10-2) and Erick Macias (9-5-2). Other losses in his first four pro fights against Gian Franco Cortez (5-4) and Milko Tucto (6-5) - the former was later avenged. 7/14 wins by KO, 2/3 losses by submission.
Two guys who look out of their depth on the ground so they should engage in a kickboxing contest and Borshchev is the more proven commodity in that type of fight.
Prediction: Borshchev by decision.
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Josiane Nunes (2.87) vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (1.44)
Nunes is 3-1 in UFC, 10-2 overall. Last 5: W-W-W-W-L
Cavalcanti is 1-0 in UFC, 6-1 overall. Last 5: L-W-W-W-W
Nunes (30) moved down to WBW and suffered her first UFC loss against Chelsea Chandler (decision) in March. She went 3-0 in the UFC as a very undersized WFW, finishing with a win over Zarah Fairn (decision) at UFC 283. Other wins in that weight class against Bea Malecki (KO) in 2020 and Ramona Pascual (decision) in 2021. Graduated to the UFC having performed well on the Brazilian regional circuit, finishing six of her seven wins via KO with the most notable of those coming over Quesia Zbonik (4-1) and current UFC WFLW Dione Barbosa. One other professional loss against former UFC WFLW title challenger Talita Santos (decision). Trains at Striker's House.
Cavalcanti (26) stepped in on short notice to make her UFC debut and defeated Zarah Fairn (decision) on the Paris show last September. She made a successful appearance for LFA earlier earlier in 2023, beating Melissa Croden (5-2) to win their vacant WBW title. The Portuguese WBW has a regional win over a UFC veteran in Nora Cornelle (decision) and a loss to Martina Jindrova (6-5) when competing for PFL in 2022. Has competed as high as LW. 3/6 wins by KO.
Nunes has fight changing power in her hands but it looks like a similar style match-up to the one she just lost against Chandler.
Prediction: Cavalcanti by decision.
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Dennis Buzukja (2.00) vs Francis Marshall (1.80)
Buzukja is 1-2 in UFC, 12-4 overall. Last 5: W-W-L-L-W
Marshall is 1-2 in UFC, 7-2 overall. Last 5: W-W-W-L-L
Buzukja (26) picked up his first UFC win at the third time of asking against Connor Matthews (KO) in March. He didn't have much luck in his first two visits to the Octagon last year, first of all losing a very short notice debut against Sean Woodson (decision) and then getting finished by Jamal Emmers (KO) inside a minute at UFC 295. Paid his dues to reach this level, including two appearances on Dana White's Tuesday Night Contender Series - a loss to Melsik Baghdasaryan (decison) in 2020 and a win over Kaleio Romero (6-2) that didn't earn him a contract. Has fought for Bellator (1-0), UAE Warriors (1-0) and CFFC (1-0) but the majority of his regional career look place in his local Ring of Combat (5-1) organisation. Career wins over Josh Rohler (8-5), Boimah Karno (9-6) and Soslan Abanokov (6-5-2) with the other loss coming in his second pro fight against Nick Rodrigues (5-2). 6/12 wins by decision. Fights out of Longo Weidman MMA.
Marshall (25) steps in on about a week's notice having taken a year off following a first round KO loss to Isaac Dulgarian. That was his second loss in a row having suffered the first defeat of his career against William Gomis (decision) earlier in 2023. He looked very good in finishing a much more experienced opponent in Marcelo Rojo (KO) in his UFC debut at the end of 2022. A graduate of the 2022 Dana White's Tuesday Night Contender Series, where he earned a contract following a win over Connor Matthews (decision) - who has since made it to the UFC himself. Lacked any decent regional wins with the best coming over journeyman Rey Rrujillo (27-40) and Keith Forant (4-2). 4/7 wins by submission. 5-0 as an amateur. Trains at Pellegrino Mixed Martial Arts.
Two borderline UFC-level talents who are trying to prove they belong at this level. I have it close to 50/50 especially due to the short notice of this match-up being put together.
Prediction: Marshall by decision.
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Jose Medina (5.00) vs. Zach Reese (1.18)
Medina makes his UFC debut, 11-3 overall. Last 5: W-W-W-W-L
Reese is 1-1 in UFC, 7-1 overall. Last 5: W-W-W-L-W
Medina (33) was a bizarre signing from last year's Dana White's Tuesday Night Contender Series - he was completely dominated by Magomed Gadzhiyasulov (decision) and was essentially given a contract as White was impressed with his ability to take a beating. The Bolivian competed as an overweight LHW in that contest but will be moving down to MW here. Decent career wins over Fernando Filho (6-4) and Diego Paixao (6-1), losses earlier in his career to Claudio Rocha (19-16-2) and Antonio Gordillo (18-6-1). 8/11 wins by KO. Has been training at Entram Gym since DWTNCS.
Reese (30) picked up his first UFC win in impressive fashion in June, landing a body kick and forcing the referee to step in against Julian Marquez after just 20 seconds. Last year he also had a memorable UFC debut but this time for all the wrong reasons when Cody Brundage finished him with a slam inside two minutes. A graduate of the 2023 Dana White's Tuesday Night Contender Series, where he submitted Eli Aronov (6-1) with an armbar off his back 74 seconds into the first round. Went 3-0 in Fury FC to earn that opportunity with the pick of those wins over Aaron Phillips (8-6). Only debuted in 2021 although he did compete as an amateur as long ago as 2012 (where he picked up a loss to UFC WW Kevin Holland). 7/7 wins inside the distance (5 KO, 2 SUB). Tall MW (6'3). Fights out of WAR Training Center.
I'll be surprised if Medina can find any success at this level, he's tough but he's just not skilled enough.
Prediction: Reese by submission in round 1.
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Zygimantas Ramaska (2.30) vs. Nathan Fletcher (1.62)
Ramaska makes his UFC debut, 9-2 overall. Last 5: W-W-W-L-W
Fletcher makes his UFC debut, 8-1 overall. Last 5: W-W-L-W-W
Ramaska (27) was a part of TUF 32 but had to leave the competition after suffering injury in his FW quarter-final win over Bekhzod Usmonov (decision). The Lithuainian has done well on his local scene, including winning a one-night tournament last year with wins over Carlos Eduardo (15-6-1) and Gustavo Erak (25-9-4). Career losses to good competition in Vitoldas Jagelo (12-3-3) and Bibert Tumenov (13-2). Has competed at LW and even WW before. 9/9 wins inside the distance (5 KO, 4 SUB).
Fletcher (26) is perhaps a little bit lucky to get a spot on this card having been eliminated from the FW competition in the quarter-finals by finalist Kaan Ofli (decision). The Brit has spent all of his regional career fighting for Cage Warriors where he was a standout, going 8-1 but failing to gain the vacant BW title when he lost to Dominique Wooding (9-7). Notable career wins over Daan Duijs (10-2), Alessandro Giordano (8-3), Brian Bouland (11-4) and Michele Martignoni (9-3-2). 6/8 wins by submission. Fights out of Next Generation MMA Liverpool.
Should be a fun scrap, Ramaska is bigger but Fletcher has had the more notable regional career. A finish seems likely.
Prediction: Ramaska by KO in round 2.
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Cong Wang (1.08) vs. Victoria Leonardo (8.00)
Wang makes her UFC debut, 5-0 overall. Last 5: W-W-W-W-W
Leonardo is 1-3 in UFC, 9-5 overall. Last 5: W-L-L-W-L
Wang (32) was signed after picking up submitting Paula Luna (5-3) on a Road to the UFC show earlier this year. The Chinese WFLW is 2-0 this year having defeated UFC veteran Yanan Wu in January. One other semi-notable win over Amena Hadaya (4-3) in a lone appearance for UAE Warriors last year. Inexperienced in MMA with only five fights but is an experienced martial artist (boxing and kickboxing - she owns a victory over Valentina Shevchenko in the latter).
Leonardo (34) returns from a 15-month absence - we haven't seen her since she was overwhelmed by one of the brightest prospects in the WFLW division in Natalia Silva (KO) inside three minutes. She lone success in four trips to the Octagon came over Mandy Bohm (decision) in 2022. She's had some bad luck with match-ups - her other UFC losses are to WFLW contender Manon Fiorot (KO) and another solid fighter in Melissa Gatto (KO). Earned a UFC contract with a dominant performance on Dana White's Tuesday Night Contender Series in 2020, taking advantage of the poor ground game of Chelsea Hackett (4-3-1) to win via ground and pound in the second round. Honed her skills in Invicta FC, going 3-2 with a good win over Stephanie Geltmacher (5-1) and losses against UFC's Miranda Maverick (submission) and Erin Blanchfield (KO). Also has experience in Bellator (1-0) and LFA (2-0) where she picked up a notable win over UFC veteran Hailey Cowan (submission). 4/9 wins by submission, finished in all five losses (4 KO). Trains at Elite Combat Academy.
They've used Leonardo as a showcase fight for prospects and I think they might be doing the same here with Wang.
Prediction: Wang by KO in round 2.
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